Daily Forecast

DATE: 10 Apr 2026, composed at 07:44 SAST

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Solar activity is low to moderate with background X-ray flux at upper B-class levels. An M1.1 solar flare is the largest observed from AR4409 on 09 April 2026 at 08:45 UT in the past 24 hours. There are three sunspot regions on the visible solar disk with simple magnetic configuration. The solar wind speed is at background to slightly elevated levels with speed ranging between 350 - 420 km/s due to the onset of high-speed stream (HSS) from coronal hole 39 (CH39/+). There are few filaments and prominences that show movement and will be monitored for any potential lift-offs. No confirmed Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in the available coronagraph imagery. Geomagnetic conditions are at quiet to active levels (Kp 1-4). Local HF working frequencies are near monthly predicted values.

EVENTS: None.

OUTLOOK: Solar activity is expected to be low with background X-ray flux at B-class levels. Three sunspot regions are on the visible solar disk with simple magnetic configuration. The probability for C-class flaring is moderate to high, and low for M- and X-class. Solar wind speed is expected to increase to elevated levels. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels (Kp 0-3) levels. Isolated active and G1/Minor storms intervals are possible. These conditions will be caused by HSS from CH39/+.

SYSTEMS AFFECTED: GNSS.



3-Day Predictions

Date2026-04-112026-04-122026-04-13
SSN202317
Se (WCI)555440
T-Index30 to 105/830 to 105/1430 to 105/10
Activitylowlowlow
Qfe7.95.74.6
Ap32.017.012.0
Magnetic ConditionsMinor StormUnsettled to ActiveUnsettled
SA HF Commsfairfairfair
SW Fadeoutsunlikelyunlikelyunlikely
MUFunstableunstableunstable