Daily Forecast

DATE: 09 Aug 2022, composed at 07:58 SAST

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Solar activity is low with background X-ray flux at B-class levels. There are currently five sunspot regions (AR3071, AR3074, AR3075, AR3076 and a new unnumbered region) visible on the solar disk with simple magnetic configurations. The solar wind speed is elevated above background levels with speed ranging between 560- 600 km/s due to the persisting influence from the high speed stream (HSS) from coronal hole 10 (CH10). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in the available imagery. Geomagnetic activity is at unsettled to active with periods of G1/minor storm. Local HF working frequencies are near monthly average predicted values.

EVENTS: None.

OUTLOOK: Solar activity is expected to be low with background X-ray flux at upper B-class levels. There are five sunspot regions visible on the solar disk with simple magnetic configurations. The probability for C-class flaring is low. The solar wind speed is expected to remain elevated above background due to the continuous influence of the HSS from CH10. Geomagnetic activity is expected to be at unsettled to active levels with a chance of a G1/ Minor storm later today into tomorrow.

SYSTEMS AFFECTED: None.



3-Day Predictions

Date2022-08-102022-08-112022-08-12
SSN535351
Se (WCI)646460
T-Index30 to 105/4930 to 105/5130 to 105/39
Activitylowlowlow
Qfe4.64.53.8
Ap10.010.08.0
Magnetic ConditionsUnsettledUnsettledQuiet to Unsettled
SA HF Commsfairfairfair
SW Fadeoutsunlikelyunlikelyunlikely
MUFunstableunstableunstable