Daily Forecast

DATE: 15 Jul 2026, composed at 07:47 SAST

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Solar activity was low with background X-ray flux at B-class levels during the past 24 hours. No significant solar flares were observed during this period. There are three sunspot regions on the visible solar disk with simple magnetic configurations. Solar wind speed ranged from background to slightly elevated levels (340-460 km/s). There are several filaments and prominences on the visible solar disk that show minimal movement but will be monitored for any potential lift-offs. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in the available coronagraph imagery during the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels (Kp 1-3). Local HF working frequencies are near monthly predicted values.

EVENTS: None.

OUTLOOK: Solar activity is expected to be low with background X-ray flux at B-class levels. Three sunspot regions are on the visible solar disk showing simple magnetic configurations. The probability for C-class flaring is moderate, and low for both M- and X-class flares. The solar wind speed is expected to be at background to slightly elevated levels due to HSS and CME effects. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels (Kp 1-3), with a chance of active intervals (Kp=4) due to possible glancing blows from CMEs that left the Sun on 12 July.

SYSTEMS AFFECTED: None.



3-Day Predictions

Date2026-07-172026-07-182026-07-19
SSN515864
Se (WCI)474343
T-Index30 to 105/5030 to 105/5730 to 105/23
Activitylowlowlow
Qfe4.03.03.0
Ap8.05.05.0
Magnetic ConditionsQuiet to UnsettledQuietQuiet
SA HF Commsfairfairfair
SW Fadeoutsunlikelyunlikelyunlikely
MUFunstableunstableunstable