Daily Forecast

DATE: 14 Nov 2019, composed at 08:33 SAST

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Solar activity is low with background X-ray flux below B-class levels. The solar wind speed is at background levels with speeds between 320 km/s - 360 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions are at quiet levels. Local HF working frequencies are near monthly average predicted values.

EVENTS: None.

OUTLOOK: Solar activity is expected to be low with background X-ray flux below B-class levels. There are no visible sunspot regions on the Sun and no flaring activity is expected. The solar wind speed is expected to remain at background levels with possible slight enhancement from weak coronal hole influences. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled levels.

SYSTEMS AFFECTED: None.

3-Day Predictions

Date	2019-11-15	2019-11-16	2019-11-17
SSN	1	1	1
Se (WCI)	3	3	1
T-Index	-40 to -10/-20	-40 to -10/-16	-40 to -10/-31
Activity	low	low	low
Qfe	3.0	4.6	3.5
Ap	5.0	12.0	8.0
Magnetic Conditions	Quiet	Unsettled	Quiet to Unsettled
SA HF Comms	fair	fair	fair
SW Fadeouts	unlikely	unlikely	unlikely
MUF	unstable	unstable	unstable

Current Conditions

2019-11-15 03:38
Solar wind speed:	326.8 km/s
IMF Bz:	2.0
Hermanus T-index:	-3
Hermanus K-index:	0
Hermanus foF2:	3.200 MHz
Dst Index:	13 nT
Dcx Index:	6.2 nT

Space Weather Bulletin

14 November 2019
Solar activity is low with background X-ray flux below B-class levels. The solar wind speed is at background levels with speeds between 320 km/s - 360 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions are at quiet levels. Local HF working frequencies are near monthly average predicted values.