DATE: 08 Dec 2025, composed at 07:49 SAST

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Solar activity is moderate to high, with background X-ray flux at C-class levels. An X1.1 is the largest flare observed from AR4298 in the past 24 hours. There are eight sunspot regions on the visible solar disk, with simple to complex magnetic configurations. The solar wind speed is at background levels, ranging from 392-400 km/s. A few filaments and prominences show slight movement and will be monitored for any potential lift-offs. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions were at quiet to unsettled levels (Kp 0-3). Local HF working frequencies are near the monthly predicted values.

EVENTS: None.

OUTLOOK:  Solar activity is expected to be moderate, with background X-ray flux at the lower C-class level. There are eight sunspot regions are on the visible solar disk with simple to complex magnetic configurations. The probability for further C-class and M-class flaring is high, but moderate for X-class flaring. Solar wind speed is forecast to increase and reach elevated levels due to the arrival of the CMEs that left the Sun on 4 and 6 December 2025. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled at first, then rise to G1/Minor storm levels (Kp 5) with isolated periods of G2/Moderate storm intervals possible (Kp 6). There is also a slight chance of a G3/Strong storm interval (Kp 7).

SYSTEMS AFFECTED: HF Communications & GNSS.