Daily Forecast

DATE: 14 May 2026, composed at 07:37 SAST

CURRENT CONDITIONS: Solar activity is very low with background X-ray flux at B-class levels. There are three sunspot regions on the visible solar disk with simple magnetic configuration. The solar wind speed is at background to elevated levels with speed ranging between 350-500 km/s due to glancing CME impacts. There are a few filaments and prominences that show slight movement and will be monitored for any potential lift-off. There are no Earth-directed CMEs observed in the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet to unsettled levels (Kp 1-3). Local HF working frequencies are near monthly predicted values.

EVENTS: None.

OUTLOOK: Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate with background X-ray flux at B-class levels. Three sunspot regions are on the visible solar disk with simple magnetic configuration. The probability for C-class flaring is high, moderate for M-class and low for X-class. Solar wind speed is expected to remain at elevated levels due to the anticipated high-speed stream (HSS) from coronal hole 53/- (CH53/-). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled levels (Kp 1-3), with a slight chance of active to G1/Minor Storm levels (Kp 4-5) due to the abovementioned conditions.

SYSTEMS AFFECTED: None